Draft Preview: Best of wide receivers and tight ends In a draft with few sure things -- even at the top -- it seems fairly certain that juniors A.J. Green from Georgia and Alabama's Julio Jones will be off the board in the first dozen picks.
"Me and Julio are just alike, we don't get caught up in the hype and we're just two guys trying to be the best," Green said at the scouting combine. "I think I'm the best, I'm going to do what I can to be the No. 1 receiver and I feel like Julio's going to do his best -- we're not going to be mad if I'm not the top receiver drafted."
In what order the stars of the 2008 recruiting class and All-SEC rivals are likely to be drafted has become more debated since Jones' blazing and widely unexpected combine workout. Jones, knocked for his straight-line speed, ran 40 yards in the 4.34 seconds, besting Green (4.48) in the one area in which the Bulldog had a plain advantage on game film. More praise was heaped on Jones once it was learned he went through drills and tests knowing he had a fractured foot. He only shed the walking boot on his right foot at the end of March.
Jones' timed speed doesn't show up on the field. He's more of a rugged blocker with a reputation for decleating defensive backs, not toasting them with his speed. Green, no sprinter in his own right, runs smooth routes with natural and free movement in all directions with short-area quickness to separate from clingy coverage.
Recent history shows draft position means little to a wide receiver prospect's long-term future, and if anything shows neither player should necessarily be pining to be picked first. Darrius Heyward-Bey (2009) and Donnie Avery (2008) were the top wide receivers drafted in their classes, and players such as Ted Ginn (2007), Chad Jackson (2006), Troy Williamson, Mike Williams (2005) and Reggie Williams (2004) show that being one of the first two or three receivers off the board doesn't portend NFL greatness.
At least one tight end has been selected in the first round in each of the past 11 drafts, and 16 overall, but any expectations teams have of finding a great one in this class borders on unreasonable.
Notre Dame junior Kyle Rudolph is the best of an average bunch, but a hamstring avulsion -- meaning the muscle separated from the bone -- kept him on the sideline for the second half of the 2010 season. He's been running since February but caught everything in sight at his April 7 pro day, where his athletic testing was solid but unspectacular as expected.
Rudolph could go in the late first round, as Greg Olsen (31st overall, Bears) did as the first tight end drafted in 2007 or Marcedes Lewis (28th overall, Jaguars) in 2006 if a needy team gets anxious even if NFLDraftScout.com has him rated as the 40th overall prospect.
Tennessee's Luke Stocker can't be confused with Jason Witten, but he and D.J. Williams, whose 4.59 speed and soft hands could be coveted, should battle to be the second tight end drafted.
A closer look at the top wide receivers and tight ends in this draft:
WIDE RECEIVERS
Rating, Player, Position, College, Height, Weight, Projected Round
1. *A.J. Green, Georgia, 6-4, 211, 1
Green landed in Athens two years after he first committed to coach Mark Richt in 2006 as one of the most heralded recruits in the program's history, immediately drawing comparisons to recent top college pass-catchers including freak athlete Calvin Johnson (Lions) from rival Georgia Tech. Green wasn't alone -- Alabama wide receiver Julio Jones was neck-and-neck with Green in the 2008 prep rankings. They enter the NFL in much the same position, and are so richly talented that the likely top 10 picks could long be linked in historical sports lore as Magic and Bird, Elway and Marino and Russell and Wilt. Green had 14 touchdown catches in his first two seasons with 103 total receptions. He was suspended for the first four games of 2010 for selling his 2009 Independence Bowl jersey to former North Carolina defensive back Chris Hawkins -- deemed an agent by the NCAA -- for $1,000. He returned to catch 57 passes, a career single-season best, for 848 yards and nine scores. Green has the body control of Randy Moss and his hands are elite to rare, honed from years on his elementary school juggling team. A natural with the upside to be an All-Pro very early in his career, teams view Green as a near-instant answer as a No. 1-type receiver.
2. *Julio Jones, Alabama, 6-3, 220, 1
Jones received a regal welcome in Tuscaloosa. On Signing Day 2008, sports talk radio stations were overloaded with Crimson Tide fans predicting Jones would be the next closest thing to Michael Irvin and bring the team a national title. By the time he left Alabama, Jones had a national title ring and owned several records once held by Ozzie Newsome. Jones totaled 179 receptions, 2,653 yards and 15 touchdowns. Last season, he posted 78 catches for 1,133 yards and seven scores, all career highs. Jones' physical style of play, his size and NFL-ready frame make the Irvin comparison reasonable. If he becomes more dependable catching the ball in traffic and plays close to his Andre Johnson-level timed speed -- 4.34 seconds compared to 4.48 posted by Green at the combine -- Jones has a chance to be an elite NFL receiver. More likely, because he doesn't show the same rare speed on the field, he'll be known for his physicality downfield blocking downfield and shrugging defensive backs to move the chains consistently.
3. *Torrey Smith, Maryland, 6-1, 204, 1-2
A distant third in the 2011 receiver rankings, Smith is a big-play specialist who holds the ACC single-season kickoff return record, owns Maryland's career all-purpose yards mark (5,183) and is second in ACC history with 2,192 all-purpose yards in a season. His breakout junior season -- 85 catches, 1,160 yards, seven touchdowns -- helped Smith decide to enter the NFL Draft, but the decision was widely expected. He earned his degree, and the oldest of seven children has plenty of responsibility. Smith was born three months premature and by age five was taking care of his younger siblings and "running the household" by age seven, including feeding, diapering and bathing his toddler kin. He saw his mother -- now 38 with a lengthy record and described by Smith as his best friend -- physically and sexually abused, held at gunpoint and escaped by playing sports. He was an outstanding high school baseball player and track athlete, but has never stopped being the father figure in his family.
4. Leonard Hankerson, Miami (Fla.), 6-2, 205, 1-2
A star on his high school team during a 5A state title three-peat, Hankerson was recruited by Miami and expected to be the next great "U" receiver instantly. He was anything but -- 17 catches for 203 yards and three touchdowns through his sophomore season -- before being taken under the wing of former Miami Dolphins wide receiver Mark Duper before the 2009 season. He led Miami in receptions, receiving yards and touchdowns with big-play flair (17.3 yards per catch) and was even better as a senior -- 72 catches, 1,156 yards and broke Irvin's 25-year-old school record with 13 touchdowns to win the team's MVP award. Hankerson's route-running needs work but he's a big receiver with 4.4 speed and strong, natural hands in a thin receiving class.
5. *Randall Cobb, Kentucky, 5-10, 191, 2
A virtual Swiss Army knife on the football field, Cobb is a converted quarterback with the shiftiness and smarts to be a slot receiver, running back or return specialist. He has limited weight-room strength to beat the jam at the line of scrimmage but he's not one to shy away from swimming against the current. He stunned Tennessee and Phil Fulmer in 2008 when he left the state where he was recognized as the top prep prospect, and started at wide receiver (four games) and quarterback (four games) at Kentucky as a true freshman. More than versatile, Cobb makes up for average speed with savvy, agility, good hands and make-you-miss skills in open space. Teams that value his dual-purpose game might reach to get him earlier than most are projecting.
6. Jerrel Jernigan, Troy, 5-9, 190, 2
Speed can't be taught, and NFL scouts are showing appreciation for the explosive Jernigan despite concerns about his level of competition in the Sun Belt. Jernigan was rarely asked to beat press coverage and admits he has plenty to learn when it comes to recognizing defenses and separating when bumped at the line. Jernigan has been timed as fast as 4.32 seconds in the 40 -- and as "slow" as 4.5 -- and can respond to critics by pointing out that he was the focus of every defensive coordinator the Trojans faced the past two seasons. He broke his own school record with 84 catches for 822 yards and six receiving touchdowns in 2010, when he racked up 11 total touchdowns. Jernigan is gifted with the ball in his hands and evaluators have underlined similarities in his game to Vikings wideout Percy Harvin, the 22nd overall pick in the 2009 draft.
7. *Jonathan Baldwin, Pittsburgh, 6-5, 230, 2-3
Super-productive in two seasons at Pitt with 2,337 receiving yards and 128 catches, Baldwin could do damage with a focused attitude and strong quarterback play – both of which he lacked with consistency while with the Panthers. Baldwin has the build of former Southern Cal wide receiver Mike Williams, the 10th overall draft pick in 2005 who wallowed as a third and fourth receiver with the Lions, Raiders and Titans before a season of retribution in Seattle in 2010. Baldwin could have the same issues early in his career that dogged Williams -- his size is as much limitation as asset with 4.6-second speed and inconsistent hands. His maturity and professionalism must be proven, including adjusting his long-stride running style and being more disciplined in all areas of his game. He also has to streamline his body to be viewed as more than a niche player who can win one-on-one matchups in the short- to intermediate-level passing game.
8. Titus Young, Boise State, 5-11, 174, 2-3
Young has 4.38 speed and explosiveness -- 35-inch vertical, 10'3" broad jump -- and should be one of the top slot receivers drafted. He averaged more than 15 yards per catch at Boise State with 25 touchdown catches and totaled 150 receptions as a junior and senior for 2,256 yards while adding seven rushing touchdowns. His agility, lateral quickness and straight-line speed allow Young to separate consistently. He can also contribute as a punt returner, but his hands and ball security (six fumbles lost) have been questioned, and Young's attitude isn't for everyone. He has some off-the-field questions, including a nine-game suspension as a sophomore.
9. Edmond Gates, Abilene Christian, 6-0, 189, 3
Abilene Christian has an enrollment of less than 4,800, but its list of alumni in the NFL has ballooned in recent years. The next Wildcats prospect to enter the league might be the best, which is saying something considering the success of running back Bernard Scott (Gates' cousin), safety Danieal Manning and wide receiver Johnny Knox. Gates survived a difficult childhood -- his father was sentenced to 18 years in prison for murder -- and was dismissed from Tyler (Texas) Junior College. Because he's 25 years old, teams might hesitate to draft him in the top 50, but his 4.31 speed will make him difficult to pass up.
10. Niles Paul, Nebraska, 6-1, 224, 3
Paul wore many pelts as a prep, winning state titles in track and football and averaging 19 points per game on the hardwood, but the nephew of former Huskers running back Ahman Green says he was meant to play football. In some ways -- strength and explosiveness as a runner, receiver and returner -- Paul is cut from the same cloth as Cowboys 2010 first-round pick Dez Bryant, another Big 12 receiver who excelled in a run-first offense. But there are less flattering comparisons. Paul's maturity and decision-making have been scrutinized because of two alcohol-related arrests (underage consumption, suspicion of DUI), as was the case with Bryant last April, and he also missed time as a senior with a broken foot. The on-field questions that prevent evaluators from pegging Paul as a potential No. 1 receiver are doubts about his true second gear to separate and concentration lapses that led to numerous drops. If he takes to coaching and embraces his opportunity, Paul could surprise.
11. Greg Little, North Carolina, 6-2, 220, 3-4
Of the prospects considered rare physical specimens in this draft, no receiver this side of Julio Jones (Alabama) holds a candle to Little. Suspended last season for violating the NCAA rule on interaction with agents, Little returned to his high school campus for intense workouts at every opportunity and it showed in his combine testing -- 27 reps of 225 pounds, which was better than many of the top offensive tackles in this class, 4.51 40-yard dash, 40-inch vertical and a broad jump of 10'9" with a chiseled frame. Before he was banned, Little wore many hats for the Heels, lining up at quarterback in the Wildcat formation, running back and wide receiver. He starred in big games, including 7-87-2 against Pitt in the 2009 Meineke Car Care Bowl. It's reasonable to question whether Little can have an immediate impact after 18 months away from football contact. He needs position-specific training and coaching to reach his potential, but Little has a chip on his shoulder and is eager to prove he belongs with the elite receivers in this class.
12. Tandon Doss, Indiana, 6-3, 200, 3-4
When does Indiana lure one of the top high school talents in the state even with a porous record and flagging history? When he's the state's Mr. Football with strong ties to the program. Doss came to Indiana in 2008 as a big receiver expected to fill in for James Hardy, a second-round pick of the Bills in '08 coming off of a 16-touchdown season at IU. Doss has tremendous hands and shows great focus in traffic along with the ability to make the first man miss as a returner. But he rolls off the line of scrimmage, lacking instant burst, and isn't projected to be a No. 1 NFL receiver. Doss was a sensation as a slot receiver who dwarfed most nickel cornerbacks, but his durability -- including his current groin issue, which also kept him sidelined for the 2010 season opener -- isn't considered a strong suit. He also missed time with shoulder and knee injuries. Out of the headlines due to the groin strain that kept him from working out for scouts until April 6 (pro day scheduled in Bloomington), Doss no doubt would bring more cachet if he'd played at one of the Big Ten's perennial winners.